Two stories on the much anticipated White House BS Report on Iraq (better known as the “General Petraeus” Progress Report) indicate that the White House may finally have come to the realization that they will not be able to sustain this war much longer. The first was an article from The LA Times stating that the report “would actually be written by the White House”. It also indicated that troops would be redeployed, but stopped short of saying that the report would recommend troop cuts. Later in the day, the AP reported Petraeus was in fact recommending a troop reduction.
A couple of things stand out through all this. First of all, there was this tidbit from The LA Times article:
“There were some in the drafting of the report that said, ‘Well, we can claim progress,’ ” the administration official said. “There were others who said: ‘Wait a second. Sure we can claim progress, but it’s not credible to . . . just neglect the fact that it’s had no effect on the ground.’ “
This dilemma forces the Administration to explain why the surge has failed to suppress the violence in Iraq. If we use previous White House spin operations as a guide, the most likely explanation will be something like “The terrorists have stepped up their operations in hopes that they can persuade Congress and the American people to back down”.
There’s no reason to believe that won’t work for them as it has in the past, except for the fact that, in this situation, they’d actually be “backing down”, and thus giving the terrorists “what they want”, if their very own report, presented by their very own General, recommends troop reductions.
It’s going to be tough for Democrats to paint Bush as “backing down” when they have been urging for troop reductions for two years now, but clearly this is a flaw in logic that must be exploited. I mean really, if increases in violence are due to terrorists trying to influence US policy as the Administration claims, shouldn’t similar logic imply that a troop reduction right at the peak of that violence be an act of submission to terrorist demands?